Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien

Początek: 2026-05-12 10:25 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.55%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -2.01%
Przewaga -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Learner Tien (Goście)

Prognoza 23.45%4.26kurs godziwy
EV +2.00%
Przewaga +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Wzrost +0.012%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.0%2026-05-12 10:14
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-12 10:14
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-12 07:34
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 10:09
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:14
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:18
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:14
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 05:59
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:44
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:43
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 09:59
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 05:44
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:59
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 10:19
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 20:49
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 10:20
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:35
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 05:43
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:09
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-12 10:19
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%3.2%2026-05-12 10:20