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Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Rafael Jodar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 76.55%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Learner Tien (Гости)
Прогноз 23.45%4.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.00%
Преимущество +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Рост +0.012%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Rafael Jodar (Хозяева): 76.55%; Learner Tien (Гости): 23.45%. Для исхода «Learner Tien (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.26. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.00%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |