Die Wettquotenschule

Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-12 10:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 76.55%1.31faire Quote
EV -2.01%
Vorteil -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Learner Tien (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.45%4.26faire Quote
EV +2.00%
Vorteil +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.0%2026-05-12 10:14
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-12 10:14
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-12 07:34
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 10:09
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:14
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:18
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:14
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 05:59
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:44
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:43
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 09:59
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 05:44
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:59
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 10:19
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 20:49
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 10:20
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:35
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 05:43
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:09
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-12 10:19
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%3.2%2026-05-12 10:20