La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 76.55%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 23.45%4.26momio equitativo
EV +2.00%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:35 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |