The School of Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 18:55 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma)

Prognos 24.97%4.00rättvist odds
EV +2.40%
Fördel +0.584%
Kelly +0.773%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.22%25.17%24.75%28.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.83%26.67%24.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 75.03%1.33rättvist odds
EV -0.216%
Fördel -0.162%
Kelly -0.655%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.27%74.83%75.25%76.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.87%78.74%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.40%E +0.584%K +0.773%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:38
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 18:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 18:49
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:48
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.97%E -8.31%K -49.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:49
DraftKings3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.60%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:49
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:50
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:49
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:49
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:50
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:50
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:48
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:49
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:49
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 18:49
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:49
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:44
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:49
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:49
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:49
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.72%E -6.28%K -33.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 18:48
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 18:48
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:49
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Novig3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%3.4%2026-05-10 18:48