Idioma:Português
Matteo Arnaldi v Rafael Jodar
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Previsão 24.97%4.00odd justa
EV +2.40%
Vantagem +0.584%
Kelly +0.773%
Crescimento +0.019%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.22%25.17%24.75%28.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.83%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Previsão 75.03%1.33odd justa
EV -0.216%
Vantagem -0.162%
Kelly -0.655%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.27%74.83%75.25%76.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.87%78.74%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 24.97%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 75.03%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.00. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.40%.
Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.40%E +0.584%K +0.773%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.97%E -8.31%K -49.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.60%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.72%E -6.28%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Novig◎ | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |