Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Matteo Arnaldi v Rafael Jodar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 24.97%4.00kurs godziwy
EV +2.40%
Przewaga +0.584%
Kelly +0.773%
Wzrost +0.019%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.22%25.17%24.75%28.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.83%26.67%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rafael Jodar (Goście)
Prognoza 75.03%1.33kurs godziwy
EV -0.216%
Przewaga -0.162%
Kelly -0.655%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.27%74.83%75.25%76.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.87%78.74%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.40%E +0.584%K +0.773%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:38 |
| Pinnacle | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.97%E -8.31%K -49.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.60%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| betPARX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.72%E -6.28%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Novig | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |