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Matteo Arnaldi v Rafael Jodar
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)
Prognose 24.97%4.00faire Quote
EV +2.40%
Vorteil +0.584%
Kelly +0.773%
Wachstum +0.019%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.22%25.17%24.75%28.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.83%26.67%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)
Prognose 75.03%1.33faire Quote
EV -0.216%
Vorteil -0.162%
Kelly -0.655%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.27%74.83%75.25%76.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.87%78.74%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Matteo Arnaldi (Heim): 24.97%; Rafael Jodar (Auswärts): 75.03%. Für Matteo Arnaldi (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.00. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.40%.
Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.40%E +0.584%K +0.773%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.97%E -8.31%K -49.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.60%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.72%E -6.28%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
| Novig◎ | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |