StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Matteo Arnaldi v Rafael Jodar

Aanvang: 2026-05-10 18:55 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

53 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Matteo Arnaldi (Thuis)

Prognose 24.97%4.00margevrije odds
EV +2.40%
Voordeel +0.584%
Kelly +0.773%
Groei +0.019%

bij maximale odds 4.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.22%25.17%24.75%28.73%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.83%26.67%24.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Uit)

Prognose 75.03%1.33margevrije odds
EV -0.216%
Voordeel -0.162%
Kelly -0.655%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.33

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
71.27%74.83%75.25%76.78%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.87%78.74%75.19%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Matteo Arnaldi (Thuis): 24.97%; Rafael Jodar (Uit): 75.03%. Voor Matteo Arnaldi (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.00. 2 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 4.10, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +2.40%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (53 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.40%E +0.584%K +0.773%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:38
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 18:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 18:49
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:48
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.102%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.60%E -0.667%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.97%E -8.31%K -49.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.60%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:49
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.85%E -1.000%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:50
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:48
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.72%E -3.71%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:49
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.84%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 18:49
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:49
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.97%E -3.10%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:49
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.47%E -4.34%K -21.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.22%E -4.97%K -24.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.72%E -6.28%K -33.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 18:48
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.97%E -5.62%K -29.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.22%E -2.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 18:48
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:50
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.216%E -0.162%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:50
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Novig3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%3.4%2026-05-10 18:48