StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic

Matchstart: 2026-05-11 12:40 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone (Hemma)

Prognos 44.40%2.25rättvist odds
EV +2.13%
Fördel +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Borta)

Prognos 55.60%1.80rättvist odds
EV +1.19%
Fördel +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mariano Navone (Hemma): 44.40%; Hamad Medjedovic (Borta): 55.60%. För Mariano Navone (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.25. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.13%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 12:09
NordicBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Betsson🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 12:09
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:14
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 12:09
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:10
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 12:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:14
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 12:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 12:10
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:19
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-11 12:25