La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mariano Navone (Casa)
Previsione 44.40%2.25quota equa
EV +2.13%
Vantaggio +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.035%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta)
Previsione 55.60%1.80quota equa
EV +1.19%
Vantaggio +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betsson | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:05 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Novig | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |