Szkoła Kursów

Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic

Początek: 2026-05-11 12:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 44.40%2.25kurs godziwy
EV +2.13%
Przewaga +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
Wzrost +0.035%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Hamad Medjedovic (Goście)

Prognoza 55.60%1.80kurs godziwy
EV +1.19%
Przewaga +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 12:09
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:10
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 12:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 12:09
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:10
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:14
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:24
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 12:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 12:09
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 12:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:19
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-11 12:25