مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic

البداية: 2026-05-11 12:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mariano Navone (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.40%2.25السعر العادل
EV +2.13%
الأفضلية +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
النمو +0.035%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hamad Medjedovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.60%1.80السعر العادل
EV +1.19%
الأفضلية +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 12:09
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 12:10
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 12:09
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 12:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 12:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 12:09
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 12:10
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:14
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:24
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 12:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 12:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 12:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 12:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 12:09
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017%4.5%2026-05-11 12:19
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 12:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 12:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-11 12:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:19
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-05-11 12:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-11 12:25