La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mariano Navone (Local)
Predicción 44.40%2.25momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)
Predicción 55.60%1.80momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betsson | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:05 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Novig | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |