Langue:Français
Mariano Navone v Hamad Medjedovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 44.40%2.25cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +0.924%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%44.21%44.44%47.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.73%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.60%1.80cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.60%55.79%55.56%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.691.8262.50%58.97%59.00%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mariano Navone (Local) : 44.40% ; Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur) : 55.60%. Pour Mariano Navone (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.25. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +2.13%.
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.13%E +0.924%K +1.64%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.98%E -2.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.04%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.19%E +0.652%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.37%E -2.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:19 |
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 12:25 |