StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 20:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Musetti (Hemma)

Prognos 85.67%1.17rättvist odds
EV +0.237%
Fördel +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Borta)

Prognos 14.33%6.98rättvist odds
EV +7.46%
Fördel +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Tillväxt +0.086%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lorenzo Musetti (Hemma): 85.67%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Borta): 14.33%. För Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.98. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.46%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%3.4%2026-05-08 20:19
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.1%2026-05-08 19:59
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.1%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012%2.4%2026-05-08 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 20:00
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 20:20
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:19
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:00
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:58
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 20:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:24
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-08 20:25
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-05-08 20:25
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%4.0%2026-05-08 20:19