La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lorenzo Musetti (Casa)
Previsione 85.67%1.17quota equa
EV +0.237%
Vantaggio +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.33%6.98quota equa
EV +7.46%
Vantaggio +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.086%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| ReBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 20:20 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Novig | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |