Die Wettquotenschule

Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 20:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Heim)

Prognose 85.67%1.17faire Quote
EV +0.237%
Vorteil +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.33%6.98faire Quote
EV +7.46%
Vorteil +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Wachstum +0.086%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%3.4%2026-05-08 20:19
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.1%2026-05-08 19:59
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 19:59
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.1%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012%2.4%2026-05-08 20:15
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:00
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:59
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:24
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 20:00
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 20:00
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 20:20
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:19
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:24
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 19:59
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:00
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:58
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 20:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:24
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-08 20:25
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-05-08 20:25
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%4.0%2026-05-08 20:19