Szkoła Kursów

Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Początek: 2026-05-08 20:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 85.67%1.17kurs godziwy
EV +0.237%
Przewaga +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Goście)

Prognoza 14.33%6.98kurs godziwy
EV +7.46%
Przewaga +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Wzrost +0.086%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%3.4%2026-05-08 20:19
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.1%2026-05-08 19:59
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 19:59
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.1%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012%2.4%2026-05-08 20:15
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:00
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:59
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:24
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 20:00
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 20:00
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 20:20
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:19
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:24
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 19:59
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:00
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:58
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 20:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:24
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-08 20:25
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-05-08 20:25
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%4.0%2026-05-08 20:19