Idioma:Español
Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Predicción 85.67%1.17momio equitativo
EV +0.237%
Ventaja +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)
Predicción 14.33%6.98momio equitativo
EV +7.46%
Ventaja +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lorenzo Musetti (Local): 85.67%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante): 14.33%. Para Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.98. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |