A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Início: 2026-05-08 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Local)

Previsão 85.67%1.17odd justa
EV +0.237%
Vantagem +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)

Previsão 14.33%6.98odd justa
EV +7.46%
Vantagem +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%3.4%2026-05-08 20:19
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.1%2026-05-08 19:59
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086%5.9%2026-05-08 19:59
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.1%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024%3.9%2026-05-08 20:00
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012%2.4%2026-05-08 20:15
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:00
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 20:00
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:59
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:24
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 19:59
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 20:00
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 20:00
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 19:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 20:00
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 20:20
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:19
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:14
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:24
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 19:59
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:00
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 20:24
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 19:59
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:15
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 20:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:58
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:24
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-08 20:25
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-05-08 20:25
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%4.0%2026-05-08 20:19