Idioma:Português
Lorenzo Musetti v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Previsão 85.67%1.17odd justa
EV +0.237%
Vantagem +0.202%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.003%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.04%85.45%85.82%87.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.111.111.1793.46%90.08%90.09%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)
Previsão 14.33%6.98odd justa
EV +7.46%
Vantagem +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.086%
pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.59%14.55%14.18%18.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.006.496.327.5020.00%15.41%15.81%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lorenzo Musetti (Local): 85.67%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante): 14.33%. Para Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.98. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.46%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.47%E -6.92%K -93.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.46%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.086% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +6.03%E +0.814%K +0.941%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.88%E +0.535%K +0.620%G +0.024% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.19%E -2.82%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +2.73%E +0.381%K +0.442%G +0.012% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.294%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -2.57%E -0.378%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.62%E -6.07%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.29%E -0.487%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.82%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.18%EV -3.72%E -0.553%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.33%E -7.79%K -119.01%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.00%E -0.598%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.44%E -0.824%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -5.58%E -0.847%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -6.44%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.87%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -7.59%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -9.02%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.74%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.76%E -5.24%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.03%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.90%E -4.42%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.90%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.05%E -3.61%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.20%E -3.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +0.237%E +0.202%K +1.39%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -28.36%E -5.67%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 20:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 20:19 |