Language:English
Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Prediction 59.48%1.68fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Visit)
Prediction 40.52%2.47fair odd
EV +25.61%
Edge +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
Growth +3.12%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 59.48%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 40.52%. For Martin Landaluce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 16:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:32 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |