La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Predicción 59.48%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Martin Landaluce (Visitante)
Predicción 40.52%2.47momio equitativo
EV +25.61%
Ventaja +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
Crecimiento +3.12%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 16:38 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:32 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:31 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |