La scuola delle quote

Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce

Inizio: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Casa)

Previsione 59.48%1.68quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Landaluce (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.52%2.47quota equa
EV +25.61%
Vantaggio +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
Crescita +3.12%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12%7.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71%3.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29%9.2%2026-05-12 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%7.9%2026-05-12 16:55
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%4.1%2026-05-12 16:38
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-12 16:55
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-12 16:32
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:31
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 16:56
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:56
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:45
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-05-12 16:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%5.0%2026-05-12 16:55