مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce

البداية: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.48%1.68السعر العادل
EV -1.86%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Landaluce (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.52%2.47السعر العادل
EV +25.61%
الأفضلية +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
النمو +3.12%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12%7.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71%3.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29%9.2%2026-05-12 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%7.9%2026-05-12 16:55
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%4.1%2026-05-12 16:38
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-12 16:55
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-12 16:32
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:31
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 16:56
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:56
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:45
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 16:56
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-05-12 16:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%5.0%2026-05-12 16:55