StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce

Matchstart: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hamad Medjedovic (Hemma)

Prognos 59.48%1.68rättvist odds
EV -1.86%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Martin Landaluce (Borta)

Prognos 40.52%2.47rättvist odds
EV +25.61%
Fördel +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
Tillväxt +3.12%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hamad Medjedovic (Hemma): 59.48%; Martin Landaluce (Borta): 40.52%. För Martin Landaluce (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.47. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +25.61%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12%7.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71%3.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29%9.2%2026-05-12 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%7.9%2026-05-12 16:55
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%4.1%2026-05-12 16:38
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-12 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-12 16:32
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:31
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 16:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:56
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:45
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-05-12 16:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%5.0%2026-05-12 16:55