L’École des cotes

Hamad Medjedovic v Martin Landaluce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Prévision 59.48%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%61.04%59.29%69.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.541.551.6575.19%65.07%64.52%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Martin Landaluce (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.52%2.47cote équitable
EV +25.61%
Avantage +8.26%
Kelly +12.19%
Croissance +3.12%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%38.96%40.71%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.432.383.1047.62%41.17%42.02%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -20.89%E -15.71%K -63.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +25.61%E +8.26%K +12.19%G +3.12%7.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -15.54%E -10.94%K -36.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +23.58%E +7.73%K +11.50%G +2.71%3.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -19.10%E -14.05%K -53.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +21.55%E +7.18%K +10.78%G +2.32%6.9%2026-05-12 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -19.70%E -14.59%K -56.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +15.48%E +5.43%K +8.37%G +1.29%9.2%2026-05-12 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -14.35%E -9.96%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +5.35%E +2.06%K +3.34%G +0.179%7.9%2026-05-12 16:55
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%4.1%2026-05-12 16:38
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +1.30%E +0.518%K +0.864%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-12 16:55
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.485%E +0.196%K +0.328%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-12 16:32
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:31
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 16:56
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -12.56%E -8.55%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:56
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:55
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:51
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:56
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:45
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:56
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-05-12 16:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%5.0%2026-05-12 16:55