A Escola das Odds

Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Previsão 36.87%2.71odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 63.13%1.58odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 17:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:35
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:50
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%2.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.5%2026-05-09 17:50