Szkoła Kursów

Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.87%2.71kurs godziwy
EV +1.39%
Przewaga +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 63.13%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -2.78%
Przewaga -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.54

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 17:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:35
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:50
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:31
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%2.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.5%2026-05-09 17:50