L’École des cotes

Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Prévision 36.87%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.13%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 17:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:35
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:50
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%2.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.5%2026-05-09 17:50