مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.87%2.71السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.13%1.58السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 17:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:35
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:50
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%2.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.5%2026-05-09 17:50