Die Wettquotenschule

Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Heim)

Prognose 36.87%2.71faire Quote
EV +1.39%
Vorteil +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.13%1.58faire Quote
EV -2.78%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 17:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 17:35
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:50
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 17:34
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:31
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%2.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.5%2026-05-09 17:50