La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamad Medjedovic v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Predicción 36.87%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.504%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.86%36.78%38.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.06%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 63.13%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.40%63.14%63.22%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.501.501.5468.97%66.57%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.39%E +0.504%K +0.792%G +0.011% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV +1.02%E +0.371%K +0.584%G +0.006% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 17:50 |
| GTbets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| ReBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.88%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.36%E -2.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.09%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.78%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.68%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 17:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 17:45 |
| Novig | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 17:50 |