La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Ignacio Buse
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 41.60%2.40quota equa
EV -0.994%
Vantaggio -0.418%
Kelly -0.720%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.57%41.62%42.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.79%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ignacio Buse (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.40%1.71quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.03%58.43%58.38%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.87%61.73%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 15:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:03 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| ReBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |