StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Frances Tiafoe v Ignacio Buse

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 16:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Frances Tiafoe (Heim)

Prognose 41.60%2.40faire Quote
EV -0.994%
Vorteil -0.418%
Kelly -0.720%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%41.57%41.62%42.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.79%43.48%42.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ignacio Buse (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.40%1.71faire Quote
EV -2.47%
Vorteil -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.03%58.43%58.38%60.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.87%61.73%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Frances Tiafoe (Heim): 41.60%; Ignacio Buse (Auswärts): 58.40%. Für Frances Tiafoe (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.40. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.38, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.994%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 15:50
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 15:54
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:03
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:55
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:39
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 15:04
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:49
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
ReBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:55
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:44
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:14
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:14
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:51
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:34
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-09 15:40
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-09 15:34