La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Ignacio Buse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 41.60%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.994%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.720%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.57%41.62%42.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.79%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Predicción 58.40%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.03%58.43%58.38%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.87%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 15:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:03 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| ReBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |