مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-05-09 16:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.60%2.40السعر العادل
EV -0.994%
الأفضلية -0.418%
Kelly -0.720%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%41.57%41.62%42.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.79%43.48%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.40%1.71السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.03%58.43%58.38%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.87%61.73%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:49
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:50
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 15:50
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 15:54
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:44
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:03
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 15:04
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:54
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:14
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:04
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:55
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 15:04
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:39
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 15:04
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:10
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:49
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
ReBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:49
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:04
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:09
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:55
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:44
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:14
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:14
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 15:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:51
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:35
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-09 15:34
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-09 15:40
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-09 15:34