L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Ignacio Buse
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 41.60%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.720%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.57%41.62%42.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.79%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ignacio Buse (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.40%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.03%58.43%58.38%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.87%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.994%E -0.418%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 15:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:03 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| ReBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.21%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.81%E -2.95%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.73%E -4.89%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:14 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.48%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |