A Escola das Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone

Início: 2026-05-09 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 62.40%1.60odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mariano Navone (Visitante)

Previsão 37.60%2.66odd justa
EV +3.41%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067%5.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 10:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:05
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:09
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 11:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-09 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:14
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%2.0%2026-05-09 11:14