Szkoła Kursów

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone

Początek: 2026-05-09 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.40%1.60kurs godziwy
EV -3.29%
Przewaga -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mariano Navone (Goście)

Prognoza 37.60%2.66kurs godziwy
EV +3.41%
Przewaga +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
Wzrost +0.067%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067%5.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 10:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:05
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:09
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 11:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-09 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:14
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%2.0%2026-05-09 11:14