La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)
Previsione 62.40%1.60quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mariano Navone (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.60%2.66quota equa
EV +3.41%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescita +0.067%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betsson | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:08 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |