Idioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 62.40%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 37.60%2.66momio equitativo
EV +3.41%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 62.40%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 37.60%. Para Mariano Navone (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |