مدرسة الاحتمالات

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone

البداية: 2026-05-09 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.40%1.60السعر العادل
EV -3.29%
الأفضلية -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mariano Navone (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.60%2.66السعر العادل
EV +3.41%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067%5.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 10:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:09
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 11:05
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:09
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 11:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-09 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-09 11:14
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%2.0%2026-05-09 11:14