Langue:Français
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prévision 62.40%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%62.51%62.50%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.521.5568.97%65.92%65.79%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.60%2.66cote équitable
EV +3.41%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.067%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%37.49%37.50%38.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.69%40.00%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) : 62.40% ; Mariano Navone (Visiteur) : 37.60%. Pour Mariano Navone (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.41%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.347%E -0.131%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.723%E -0.274%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.48%E -0.563%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.857%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.98%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.12%E -2.88%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.54%E -2.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 11:14 |