Школа коэффициентов

Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen

Начало: 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

60 букмекерских контор (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.72%2.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.31%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Рост +0.048%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alex Michelsen (Гости)

Прогноз 51.28%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.57%
Преимущество +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Рост +0.066%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:38
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:19
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:18
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Coolbet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:38
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 03:40
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:19
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-03-08 03:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%3.8%2026-03-08 03:40