مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen

البداية: 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ugo Humbert (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.72%2.05السعر العادل
EV +2.31%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
النمو +0.048%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex Michelsen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.28%1.95السعر العادل
EV +2.57%
الأفضلية +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
النمو +0.066%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:38
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:19
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:18
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Coolbet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:38
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 03:40
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:19
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-03-08 03:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%3.8%2026-03-08 03:40