La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 48.72%2.05momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Predicción 51.28%1.95momio equitativo
EV +2.57%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betsson | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |