Idioma:Português
Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Previsão 48.72%2.05odd justa
EV +2.31%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescimento +0.048%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Previsão 51.28%1.95odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Crescimento +0.066%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ugo Humbert (Local): 48.72%; Alex Michelsen (Visitante): 51.28%. Para Alex Michelsen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.95. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.57%.
Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |