A Escola das Odds

Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen

Início: 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Previsão 48.72%2.05odd justa
EV +2.31%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Previsão 51.28%1.95odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Crescimento +0.066%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:38
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:19
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:18
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Coolbet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:38
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 03:40
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:19
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-03-08 03:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%3.8%2026-03-08 03:40