Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 48.72%2.05kurs godziwy
EV +2.31%
Przewaga +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Wzrost +0.048%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Michelsen (Goście)
Prognoza 51.28%1.95kurs godziwy
EV +2.57%
Przewaga +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Wzrost +0.066%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betsson | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |