Die Wettquotenschule

Ugo Humbert v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Heim)

Prognose 48.72%2.05faire Quote
EV +2.31%
Vorteil +1.10%
Kelly +2.10%
Wachstum +0.048%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.33%48.82%48.95%53.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.731.941.942.1057.80%51.46%51.55%47.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 51.28%1.95faire Quote
EV +2.57%
Vorteil +1.28%
Kelly +2.57%
Wachstum +0.066%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.38%51.18%51.05%54.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.851.872.0058.82%54.05%53.62%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.57%E +1.28%K +2.57%G +0.066%7.8%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:38
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.05%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:19
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:20
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:18
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.46%E -3.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:19
Coolbet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.617%E -0.302%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:38
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +2.31%E +1.10%K +2.10%G +0.048%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 03:40
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:19
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 03:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.23%E -5.21%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.26%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.130%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.82%E -7.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-08 03:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-03-08 03:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%3.8%2026-03-08 03:40